The TPP as seen by Asian Countries

November 24, 2016

Tags: TPP, Asian security, Asian views on TPP

Experts from Asian countries have weighed in on the U. S. pulling out of the TPP.

They want the U. S. to stay. "If the United States, rich with experience in global
leadership, retreats in this situation, there will certainly be a leadership vacuum."

This is the view expressed in a publication of the Asia Foundation subtitled, "Strategic Recommendations for the Incoming President of the U. S. on Foreign Policy Towards Asia." For a download, go to:

http://asiafoundation.org/publication/asian-views-americas-role-asia-future-rebalance

China Policy Under Trump

November 24, 2016

Tags: China policy, TPP, China trade


There is no doubt that the most important bilateral relationship in American foreign policy is the relationship with China. This is why I welcomed the recent NPR interview with Michael Pillsbury, a China hand and present member of the Trump transition team.

My father was a brilliant trial lawyer who could change tactics in the middle of a trial, depending on the testimony of the witness. A favorite quote of his was, "You have to speak to people in a language that they understand."

This sounds obvious, but actually it is a study in communications strategy. The United States has been very poor in its communications strategy with China for the past eight years and I include the foreign policy team of the present administration and the past two secretaries of state. All of them have a tin ear when it comes to understanding nuance. They fall into the Chinese category of Western barbarians.

I shall not mention all of the specific issues that called for America to weigh in, but the Umbrella Revolution in Hong Kong comes to mind. The young were in the streets asking for the democracy promised at the handover of Hong Kong from Britain.

Mr. Pillsbury is the author of the perceptive book "The Hundred Year Marathon." He is also a speaker of Chinese and a scholar of Chinese history. His approach is that of a military man. He served in the Reagan and Bush administrations. By this I mean that like military men the world over, Mr. Pillsbury is a strategic thinker. This is exactly what is needed in dealing with China, for the Chinese have been brilliant strategic thinkers for the past two thousand years.

A word about Chinese history. They were the pre-eminent civilization in the world for centuries until the rise of the West. They failed to come to terms with Western science and technology. They screwed up modernization royally, because of their belief in their own culture. They turned inward at a time when the West came to dominate the international order.

The Chinese have made up for lost time in the past three decades. They are moving onto the global scene. As Mr. Pillsbury says, China is sometimes a friend and sometimes a rival.
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The TPP: Right Or Wrong?

November 20, 2016

Tags: TPP, RCEP, Pacific Trade Agreement



Does your brain trying to figure out the plus and minuses of the TPP? I mean the Trans-Pacific Partnership deal that the Obama administration supports and Trump rejects. You're not alone.

Here is a breakdown. The TPP is a trade agreement among eleven countries of the Pacific. Pacific trade is the most vital in the world.

In the words of the China specialist, Gordon Chang, the issue is not the lopsided benefits of tariffs, dumping and currency manipulation. These can be negotiated.

The question is: Whose vision of Pacific trade will prevail, Washington's or Beijing's.
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